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NORDR // LIVE

READ THE BREAKBEFORE IT BREAKS

Offshore swell changes shape between the buoy and the sandbank. The forecast accounts for what happens in between.

NEARSHORE PHYSICSTIDE DEPENDENCYWIND BLOCKINGNEARSHORE PHYSICSTIDE DEPENDENCYWIND BLOCKINGNEARSHORE PHYSICSTIDE DEPENDENCYWIND BLOCKINGNEARSHORE PHYSICSTIDE DEPENDENCYWIND BLOCKING
PROCESS

FROM BASIN TO BEACH

Energy travels, bends, and dissipates before it reaches the lineup.

ENERGY PROPAGATION MODEL
01

GENERATION

Track basin-scale wind forcing and offshore energy formation.

02

PROPAGATION

Model travel speed, decay, and direction shifts across the shelf.

03

TRANSFORMATION

Apply depth and orientation effects that reshape wave quality.

04

BREAK-LEVEL OUTPUT

Present likely session windows with confidence and limiting factors.

FORECAST OUTPUT

WHAT YOU ACTUALLY GET

Windows, limiting factors, and how sure we are. When the forecast is shaky, you see why.

LIVE_FORECAST_PREVIEW
Today's Forecast
Knokke-Heist
05:00
0.4m
8s • NW
06:00
0.6m
9s • W
07:00
0.9m
10s • SW
PEAK
08:00
1.1m
11s • S
PEAK
09:00
1.0m
11s • SE
10:00
0.8m
10s • E
11:00
0.5m
9s • E

OPTIMAL WINDOW

Time

07:00 – 09:00

Conditions

High tide, offshore, 11s period

Current Conditions

Swell

1.1m @ 11s

Wind

4kt S (offshore)

Tide

High at 08:15

Direction

SW 210°

PRO ACCESS MODEL

FREE SIGNAL. PRO DEPTH.

The surf call is free. The reasoning behind it is Pro.

FREE

The call

Today's window, the five-day outlook, data freshness, safety context. Enough to decide whether to go.

PRO

The reasoning

For surfers who want to know why the call is what it is.

  • Full wind and swell analysis
  • Break-level intelligence
  • Session match and journal depth
  • Spot optimizer and forecast reliability
SWELL PROPAGATION

SOURCE TO SHORE

Offshore buoy readings don't tell you what reaches the beach. We model energy loss, refraction over bathymetry, and nearshore shoaling so the number on screen is the wave that arrives.

OFFSHORE BUOY (150KM)CONTINENTAL SHELFDOGGER BANKNEARSHORE (2KM)
ENERGY DECAY MODEL
KJ/M²
OFFSHORE BUOY (150KM)NEARSHORE (2KM)

GROUP VELOCITY ETAs

Arrival windows from wave period physics, not rule of thumb.

BUOY NETWORK TRACKING

Energy picked up offshore and propagated forward to your coastline.

SHALLOW-BANK ATTENUATION

Energy lost crossing Dogger Bank and other shallows, accounted for with bathymetry.

NARROW ARRIVAL WINDOWS

Where period, direction, tide, and wind align — and why.

Deep Water Group Velocity

Cg = gT / (4π) ≈ 0.78 × T (m/s)

T is wave period in seconds. A 15-second groundswell travels at ~11.7 m/s.

TIDE DEPENDENCY

DEPTH OVER THE BANKS

On the southern North Sea, sandbanks sit offshore in shallow water. At low water they absorb the swell before it reaches the beach. The forecast accounts for tide stage at each break.

LOWMIDHIGH
LOW TIDE
0%

Outer banks absorb the swell. Flat at the beach.

MID TIDE
20%

Banks still bleeding off energy. Marginal.

HIGH TIDE
100%

Enough water over the banks. Swell reaches the beach.

FORECAST VS WHAT YOU PADDLE INTO

Standard forecast

"1.2m @ 10s from WNW" — reads surfable.

Tide-adjusted

Flat at the beach until 14:30. Window opens through the high, then closes with the drop.

Regional tide dependency

Belgium (Oostende, De Panne, Knokke)

Flat at low water

Severe

Zeeland (NL)

Rideable, off-peak

Moderate

North Holland (NL)

Larger swells push through

Moderate
WIND QUALITY

DIRECTION FIRST

Wind direction relative to the beach decides whether the face holds or breaks up. Speed determines how forgiving that direction is.

OFFSHORErelative to beach
+5

Land to sea. Holds the face open at moderate speed.

CROSS-SHORErelative to beach
+3

Along the beach. Rideable, but shape depends on shielding.

ONSHORErelative to beach
+1

Sea to land. Chops the face and stacks swell on swell.

SPEED PENALTY

Even offshore goes off above a certain speed. Penalties stack with the direction score.

< 12 ktNo penalty
12-18 kt-1 point
18-25 kt-2 points
> 25 kt-3 points
OCEANBeach faces NWOFFSHORECROSSONSHORE
COVERAGE

NORTH SEA BASIN

OBSERVATION NETWORK ACTIVE

Tide-adjusted forecast windows, calibrated against buoy data along the southern North Sea coast.

BE / BELGIUM

BLANKENBERGE

Flemish Banks. Tide-dependent.

NL / NETHERLANDS

SCHEVENINGEN

Open North Sea exposure.

DK / DENMARK

KLITMØLLER

Wind swell, exposed coast.

NOW LIVE

THE FORECAST IS LIVE

Belgium and the Netherlands, calibrated at break level. No login, no waitlist — get it on iPhone or open it in your browser.

NORDR | Read the Break, Not Just the Buoy